Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -110 MILW +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +18 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -5.0 (+13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -2.6 (+15.4) | 153.6 (+8.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -3.2 (+14.8) | 153.6 (+8.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -2.8 (+15.2) | 154.3 (+7.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -2.8 (+15.2) | 153.6 (+8.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#214) | -3.7 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#226) | -0.40 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#224) | -0.91 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#215) | 0.481 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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