Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -333 STBK +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -10.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -8.7 (-5.7) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -8.4 (-5.4) | 142.9 (-3.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -7.9 (-4.9) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -8.0 (-5.0) | 143.1 (-4.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | DEL 80 – 76 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DEL 84 – 74 STBK |
| Mar 2, 2024 | STBK 79 – 56 DEL |
| Feb 14, 2023 | DEL 71 – 60 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | -3.9 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#153) | -0.05 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#130) | 0.25 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#168) | 0.487 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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