Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -500 STBK +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -10.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -8.3 (+2.7) | 131.8 (-0.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -8.9 (+2.1) | 130.3 (+0.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -9.1 (+1.9) | 129.8 (+1.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -7.9 (+3.1) | 131.1 (-0.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | DEL 80 – 76 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2025 | DEL 84 – 74 STBK |
| Mar 2, 2024 | STBK 79 – 56 DEL |
| Jan 19, 2024 | DEL 71 – 68 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#230) | -10.4 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#231) | -1.48 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#224) | -1.98 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#244) | 0.434 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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