Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
America East Conference · Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center · January 19, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UNH -6.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money NJIT +230 / UNH -225
Model Predictions
Spread Total NJIT win
Actual UNH +8 132 Lost
Massey UNH -6.5 (-1.5) — —
Massey Totals — 151.2 (-19.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 18% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 15% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNH -5.8 (-2.2) 146.6 (-14.6) 26% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNH -6.8 (-1.2) 149.5 (-17.5) 25% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNH -6.2 (-1.8) 150.6 (-18.6) 25% ✓
Baseline ML UNH -5.9 (-2.1) 148.3 (-16.3) 30% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 NJIT 76 – 70 UNH
Jan 9, 2026 NJIT 80 – 76 UNH
Feb 8, 2025 UNH 80 – 69 NJIT
Jan 18, 2025 NJIT 64 – 59 UNH
Feb 23, 2024 UNH 83 – 78 NJIT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NJIT UNH
Overall 7-21 16-15
Conference 3-13 7-9
Home 5-8 9-5
Away 2-13 7-10
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 65.7 72.8
Avg Pts Against 75.9 75.3
Massey -11.0 (#328) -0.8 (#182)
Bradley-Terry -1.88 (#327) 0.32 (#144)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.37 (#323) 0.11 (#165)
RPI 0.423 (#302) 0.529 (#129)
Shooting & Four Factors NJIT UNH
FG% 39.4% 41.1%
3PT% 31.1% 34.2%
REB / G 33.1 37.5
OREB / G 10.4 9.2
AST / TO 0.82 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.6% 48.4%
TOV% 18.1% 15.8%
ORB% 28.1% 23.2%
FT Rate 22.7% 22.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 15.5%
DRB% 62.8% 73.0%
Opp FT Rate 29.2% 21.0%

Game Analysis

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