Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MORE -333 UTM +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +18 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -10.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -9.6 (+8.4) | 150.1 (-0.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -9.8 (+8.2) | 147.8 (+2.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -10.1 (+7.9) | 149.9 (+0.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -10.2 (+7.8) | 151.9 (-1.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#130) | -4.2 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#128) | -0.67 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#140) | -0.86 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#124) | 0.470 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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