Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -4000 ULM +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +19 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -24.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -20.1 (-1.1) | 142.4 (+16.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -19.6 (-0.6) | 143.6 (+15.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -19.1 (-0.1) | 145.2 (+13.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -19.0 (-0.0) | 143.2 (+15.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2025 | JMU 85 – 79 ULM |
| Jan 28, 2023 | JMU 58 – 45 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-4 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 12-2 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#61) | -11.8 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#50) | -2.61 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#63) | -3.03 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#110) | 0.389 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 23.2% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.