Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -1000 ULM +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +13 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -17.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-45.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -13.1 (-0.1) | 145.9 (-42.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -13.0 (+0.0) | 144.0 (-41.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -12.5 (+0.5) | 145.8 (-42.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -12.0 (+1.0) | 147.9 (-44.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2025 | JMU 85 – 79 ULM |
| Jan 19, 2024 | JMU 89 – 70 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#72) | -6.2 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#140) | -0.44 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#108) | -0.55 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#148) | 0.484 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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