Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PAC +450 SCU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +19 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -14.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -14.7 (-4.3) | 143.4 (+13.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -13.4 (-5.6) | 142.4 (+14.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -14.4 (-4.6) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -13.2 (-5.8) | 143.9 (+13.1) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 0-16 | 10-6 |
| Home | 5-12 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L23 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.4 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -15.4 (#354) | 3.2 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#326) | 1.07 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#328) | 1.20 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#341) | 0.545 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 27.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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