Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -5000 PAC +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +34 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -20.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -17.2 (+16.8) | 147.7 (-15.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -17.2 (+16.8) | 148.8 (-16.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -15.9 (+18.1) | 147.4 (-15.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -17.2 (+16.8) | 147.8 (-15.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SCU 79 – 53 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#64) | -7.4 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#68) | -1.66 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#70) | -2.31 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#58) | 0.417 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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