Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -2000 PAC +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +26 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -22.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -17.2 (+8.8) | 149.3 (-17.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -16.2 (+9.8) | 150.8 (-18.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -17.1 (+8.9) | 150.7 (-18.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -16.9 (+9.1) | 150.8 (-18.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 0-16 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-12 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 81.4 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#112) | -15.0 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#112) | -2.17 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#115) | -2.80 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#123) | 0.391 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 26.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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