Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -950 PAC +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -13.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -13.1 (+2.9) | 146.3 (+7.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -14.6 (+1.4) | 147.2 (+6.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -13.0 (+3.0) | 148.1 (+5.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -12.7 (+3.3) | 149.2 (+4.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SCU 79 – 53 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#43) | 2.3 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#48) | 0.40 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#44) | 0.61 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#42) | 0.522 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 40.3% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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