Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PAC +750 SCU -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +31 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -14.9 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -14.1 (-16.9) | 148.8 (+14.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -14.3 (-16.7) | 152.1 (+10.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -14.8 (-16.2) | 148.5 (+14.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -14.1 (-16.9) | 150.0 (+13.0) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SCU 79 – 53 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-10 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#277) | 11.3 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#316) | 1.39 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#314) | 1.81 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#319) | 0.556 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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