Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | PAC +225 SCU -278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +15 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -7.3 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -5.7 (-9.3) | 144.8 (-17.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -6.2 (-8.8) | 143.3 (-16.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -5.0 (-10.0) | 145.1 (-18.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -5.0 (-10.0) | 146.2 (-19.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SCU 76 – 68 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SCU 79 – 53 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#112) | 14.0 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#110) | 2.21 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#103) | 3.15 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#101) | 0.607 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 38.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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