And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Santa Clara Broncos
76 – 68
FINAL Neutral Conference West Coast Conference
Pacific Tigers
West Coast Conference · Orleans Arena (Neutral) · March 9, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money SCU -535 / PAC +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +8 144 Won
Massey SCU -10.5 (-2.5) — —
Massey Totals — 149.1 (-5.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 87% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -8.6 (-0.6) 140.3 (+3.7) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -11.3 (-3.3) 140.8 (+3.2) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -9.1 (-1.1) 142.6 (+1.4) 81% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -9.0 (-1.0) 142.6 (+1.4) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2026 SCU 71 – 56 PAC
Jan 15, 2026 SCU 85 – 69 PAC
Mar 2, 2025 SCU 97 – 66 PAC
Feb 2, 2025 SCU 83 – 49 PAC
Feb 16, 2024 SCU 79 – 53 PAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU PAC
Overall 26-9 18-15
Conference 15-3 8-10
Home 14-1 11-3
Away 8-3 4-11
Neutral 4-5 3-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 82.9 71.4
Avg Pts Against 73.5 69.8
Massey 14.0 (#42) 3.5 (#115)
Bradley-Terry 2.25 (#40) 0.38 (#128)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.05 (#37) 0.59 (#121)
RPI 0.595 (#30) 0.517 (#135)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU PAC
FG% 47.1% 46.0%
3PT% 34.6% 36.1%
REB / G 35.3 38.2
OREB / G 12.8 11.4
AST / TO 1.49 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.8% 52.4%
TOV% 15.8% 20.3%
ORB% 36.4% 34.9%
FT Rate 20.0% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 15.1%
DRB% 68.5% 75.7%
Opp FT Rate 28.5% 26.1%

Game Analysis

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