Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -535 PAC +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -10.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -13.8 (-5.8) | 141.7 (+2.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -10.4 (-2.4) | 143.8 (+0.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -10.7 (-2.7) | 144.0 (+0.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -10.4 (-2.4) | 140.5 (+3.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCU 71 – 56 PAC |
| Jan 15, 2026 | SCU 85 – 69 PAC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SCU 97 – 66 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SCU 83 – 49 PAC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | SCU 79 – 53 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#42) | 3.5 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#40) | 0.38 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#37) | 0.59 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#30) | 0.517 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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