Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN -125 UCSB +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +28 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -6.3 (-34.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -3.0 (-31.0) | 148.6 (+17.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -4.9 (-32.9) | 148.2 (+17.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -5.2 (-33.2) | 149.5 (+16.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -5.3 (-33.3) | 148.3 (+17.7) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUN 85 – 83 UCSB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CSUN 74 – 65 UCSB |
| Mar 14, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 72 CSUN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CSUN 103 – 77 UCSB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CSUN 78 – 71 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#156) | -1.9 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#112) | -0.21 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#133) | -0.33 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#155) | 0.476 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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