Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -170 UCSB +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -3.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -2.7 (-8.7) | 149.6 (+0.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -2.8 (-8.8) | 146.2 (+3.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -3.0 (-9.0) | 148.8 (+1.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -3.1 (-9.1) | 149.8 (+0.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUN 85 – 83 UCSB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CSUN 74 – 65 UCSB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CSUN 103 – 77 UCSB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CSUN 78 – 71 UCSB |
| Mar 14, 2024 | CSUN 87 – 84 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#103) | 1.2 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#87) | 0.31 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#94) | 0.19 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#128) | 0.475 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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