Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -188 CSUN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +3 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -1.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -1.4 (-4.4) | 144.7 (+26.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -2.1 (-5.1) | 143.5 (+27.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -1.0 (-4.0) | 143.8 (+27.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -0.9 (-3.9) | 144.3 (+26.7) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUN 85 – 83 UCSB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CSUN 74 – 65 UCSB |
| Mar 14, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 72 CSUN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CSUN 103 – 77 UCSB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CSUN 78 – 71 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#197) | -3.4 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#203) | -0.21 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#202) | -0.42 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#219) | 0.464 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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