Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -133 RICH +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -0.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -0.9 (-4.1) | 133.8 (-0.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -1.2 (-3.8) | 133.1 (-0.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -1.2 (-3.8) | 133.1 (-0.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.8 (-4.2) | 134.1 (-1.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DAV 65 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAV 79 – 54 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DAV 69 – 65 RICH |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DAV 71 – 60 RICH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DAV 72 – 66 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#135) | 6.8 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#114) | 1.37 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#117) | 1.53 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#114) | 0.547 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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