Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -550 RICH +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -10.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -9.3 (+1.7) | 138.7 (-7.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -8.4 (+2.6) | 136.4 (-5.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -8.6 (+2.4) | 137.8 (-6.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -8.9 (+2.1) | 138.0 (-7.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DAV 65 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAV 79 – 54 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DAV 69 – 65 RICH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DAV 72 – 66 RICH |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RICH 66 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#130) | -5.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#147) | -0.96 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#129) | -1.06 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#165) | 0.476 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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