Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -225 DAV +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +3 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -6.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -4.3 (-1.3) | 134.2 (-5.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -6.6 (-3.6) | 133.1 (-4.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -6.2 (-3.2) | 134.7 (-5.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -5.8 (-2.8) | 135.0 (-6.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DAV 65 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAV 79 – 54 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DAV 69 – 65 RICH |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DAV 71 – 60 RICH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DAV 72 – 66 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#75) | 4.3 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#55) | 0.58 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#68) | 0.93 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#61) | 0.534 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 12.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 17.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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