Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -240 RICH +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -5.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -5.1 (-1.1) | 135.1 (-1.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -3.3 (+0.7) | 132.6 (+1.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -4.7 (-0.7) | 133.2 (+0.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -4.7 (-0.7) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DAV 65 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAV 79 – 54 RICH |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DAV 71 – 60 RICH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DAV 72 – 66 RICH |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RICH 66 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#143) | -4.9 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#167) | -0.91 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#146) | -1.03 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#179) | 0.468 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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