Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | RICH +175 DAV -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -3.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -2.5 (-3.5) | 139.0 (-1.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -1.7 (-4.3) | 138.2 (-0.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -2.2 (-3.8) | 138.0 (-0.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -2.3 (-3.7) | 138.1 (-0.1) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DAV 65 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAV 79 – 54 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DAV 69 – 65 RICH |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DAV 71 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RICH 66 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#241) | 2.0 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#248) | 0.41 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#245) | 0.62 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#206) | 0.518 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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