Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -225 RICH +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -4.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -4.8 (-2.8) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -4.4 (-2.4) | 141.0 (-13.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -5.1 (-3.1) | 142.2 (-14.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -4.6 (-2.6) | 141.9 (-13.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAV 79 – 54 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DAV 69 – 65 RICH |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DAV 71 – 60 RICH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DAV 72 – 66 RICH |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RICH 66 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#116) | 2.7 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#106) | -0.03 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#106) | 0.30 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#80) | 0.492 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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