Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -130 DAV +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +25 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -4.7 (-29.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -4.9 (-29.9) | 138.7 (-5.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -2.8 (-27.8) | 139.0 (-6.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -4.4 (-29.4) | 138.2 (-5.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -3.8 (-28.8) | 138.9 (-5.9) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DAV 65 – 63 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DAV 69 – 65 RICH |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DAV 71 – 60 RICH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DAV 72 – 66 RICH |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RICH 66 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#111) | 2.3 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#156) | 0.57 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#121) | 0.66 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#156) | 0.543 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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