He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Dartmouth Big Green
51 76
FINAL Conference
Yale Bulldogs
Ivy League · Leede Arena · January 20, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread YALE -12.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money DART +750 / YALE -1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total DART win
Actual YALE +25 127 Lost
Massey YALE -11.9 (-13.1)
Massey Totals 129.8 (-2.8)
Bradley-Terry 10%
Weighted B-T 6%
Efficiency Plus ML YALE -12.1 (-12.9) 132.9 (-5.9) 14%
Baseline Tuned ML YALE -12.2 (-12.8) 132.1 (-5.1) 14%
Baseline ML YALE -12.6 (-12.4) 132.7 (-5.7) 15%
Baseline Plus ML YALE -12.6 (-12.4) 132.3 (-5.3) 15%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 YALE 8370 DART
Jan 31, 2026 YALE 8368 DART
Feb 28, 2025 YALE 7267 DART
Jan 20, 2025 YALE 8367 DART
Mar 2, 2024 YALE 8056 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DART YALE
Overall 6-21 23-10
Conference 2-12 11-3
Home 6-7 9-2
Away 0-14 9-6
Neutral 0-0 5-2
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak W1 L1
Avg Pts For 60.6 73.2
Avg Pts Against 73.2 68.9
Massey -11.1 (#329) 4.5 (#107)
Bradley-Terry -1.90 (#324) 0.96 (#99)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.22 (#317) 1.25 (#98)
RPI 0.408 (#323) 0.564 (#81)
Shooting & Four Factors DART YALE
FG% 39.2% 44.6%
3PT% 27.2% 34.3%
REB / G 32.8 36.0
OREB / G 6.6 10.2
AST / TO 0.82 1.34
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.3% 50.5%
TOV% 19.1% 14.8%
ORB% 19.0% 29.0%
FT Rate 17.9% 19.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 50.1%
Opp TOV% 14.0% 15.7%
DRB% 76.6% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 18.0% 21.3%

Game Analysis

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