Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | DART +750 YALE -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +25 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -11.9 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -12.6 (-12.4) | 132.3 (-5.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -12.1 (-12.9) | 132.9 (-5.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -12.2 (-12.8) | 132.1 (-5.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -12.6 (-12.4) | 132.7 (-5.7) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 83 – 70 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | YALE 83 – 68 DART |
| Feb 28, 2025 | YALE 72 – 67 DART |
| Jan 20, 2025 | YALE 83 – 67 DART |
| Mar 2, 2024 | YALE 80 – 56 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-21 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 11-3 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-2 |
| Away | 0-14 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#329) | 4.5 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#324) | 0.96 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#317) | 1.25 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#323) | 0.564 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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