Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -1650 DART +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -16.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -16.5 (-1.5) | 150.5 (+0.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -16.5 (-1.5) | 152.0 (-1.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -15.7 (-0.7) | 151.3 (-0.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -16.5 (-1.5) | 151.8 (-0.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 83 – 70 DART |
| Feb 28, 2025 | YALE 72 – 67 DART |
| Jan 20, 2025 | YALE 83 – 67 DART |
| Mar 2, 2024 | YALE 80 – 56 DART |
| Jan 20, 2024 | YALE 76 – 51 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#64) | -4.0 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#55) | -0.82 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#70) | -1.07 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#31) | 0.471 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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