Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -3000 DART +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +16 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -18.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -15.7 (+0.3) | 152.0 (-2.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -17.8 (-1.8) | 150.3 (-0.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -15.4 (+0.6) | 151.2 (-1.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -16.2 (-0.2) | 152.3 (-2.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 83 – 70 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | YALE 83 – 68 DART |
| Feb 28, 2025 | YALE 72 – 67 DART |
| Mar 2, 2024 | YALE 80 – 56 DART |
| Jan 20, 2024 | YALE 76 – 51 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 8-6 |
| Home | 11-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#74) | -7.1 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#112) | -1.23 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#114) | -1.53 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#64) | 0.440 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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