Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | DART +300 YALE -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -8.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -7.8 (+2.8) | 150.0 (-11.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -5.3 (+0.3) | 149.4 (-10.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -5.4 (+0.4) | 150.3 (-11.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -5.7 (+0.7) | 151.0 (-12.0) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 83 – 70 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | YALE 83 – 68 DART |
| Jan 20, 2025 | YALE 83 – 67 DART |
| Mar 2, 2024 | YALE 80 – 56 DART |
| Jan 20, 2024 | YALE 76 – 51 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 13-1 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-0 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#205) | 9.2 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#207) | 1.09 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#212) | 1.35 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#186) | 0.582 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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