Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | DART +400 YALE -535 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +13 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -9.3 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -9.0 (-4.0) | 145.5 (+7.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -7.9 (-5.1) | 147.5 (+5.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -7.9 (-5.1) | 149.4 (+3.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -9.0 (-4.0) | 147.9 (+5.1) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | YALE 83 – 68 DART |
| Feb 28, 2025 | YALE 72 – 67 DART |
| Jan 20, 2025 | YALE 83 – 67 DART |
| Mar 2, 2024 | YALE 80 – 56 DART |
| Jan 20, 2024 | YALE 76 – 51 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 5-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#231) | 8.0 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#245) | 1.40 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#247) | 1.57 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#223) | 0.597 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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