Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Yale Bulldogs
80 – 56
FINAL Conference
Dartmouth Big Green
Ivy League · John J. Lee Amphitheater · March 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread YALE -19.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Money YALE -2500 / DART +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total YALE win
Actual YALE +24 136 Won
Massey YALE -21.3 (+2.7) — —
Massey Totals — 128.5 (+7.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YALE -16.9 (+7.1) 135.2 (+0.8) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YALE -17.5 (+6.5) 133.4 (+2.6) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YALE -16.2 (+7.8) 136.4 (-0.4) 90% ✓
Baseline ML YALE -17.4 (+6.6) 135.6 (+0.4) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 YALE 83 – 70 DART
Jan 31, 2026 YALE 83 – 68 DART
Feb 28, 2025 YALE 72 – 67 DART
Jan 20, 2025 YALE 83 – 67 DART
Jan 20, 2024 YALE 76 – 51 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YALE DART
Overall 23-10 6-21
Conference 11-3 2-12
Home 9-2 6-7
Away 9-6 0-14
Neutral 5-2 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 73.2 60.6
Avg Pts Against 68.9 73.2
Massey 6.4 (#91) -11.5 (#333)
Bradley-Terry 1.43 (#68) -2.14 (#337)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.71 (#73) -2.50 (#335)
RPI 0.598 (#27) 0.409 (#334)
Shooting & Four Factors YALE DART
FG% 45.6% 40.1%
3PT% 33.8% 30.9%
REB / G 35.9 32.7
OREB / G 9.8 7.2
AST / TO 1.43 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 46.8%
TOV% 14.2% 19.3%
ORB% 28.6% 20.8%
FT Rate 20.4% 18.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 13.2%
DRB% 76.7% 75.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 18.7%

Game Analysis

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