Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -2500 DART +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +24 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -21.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -17.5 (+6.5) | 133.4 (+2.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -16.2 (+7.8) | 136.4 (-0.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -17.4 (+6.6) | 135.6 (+0.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -16.9 (+7.1) | 135.2 (+0.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 83 – 70 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | YALE 83 – 68 DART |
| Feb 28, 2025 | YALE 72 – 67 DART |
| Jan 20, 2025 | YALE 83 – 67 DART |
| Jan 20, 2024 | YALE 76 – 51 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 6-21 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 2-12 |
| Home | 9-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#91) | -11.5 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#68) | -2.14 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#73) | -2.50 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#27) | 0.409 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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