Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -600 BEL +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +23 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -11.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -9.1 (+13.9) | 149.6 (+17.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -10.5 (+12.5) | 149.0 (+18.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -10.8 (+12.2) | 148.7 (+18.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -10.6 (+12.4) | 150.5 (+16.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | BRAD 95 – 84 BEL |
| Jan 2, 2026 | BEL 88 – 78 BRAD |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BEL 80 – 77 BRAD |
| Jan 22, 2025 | BRAD 89 – 77 BEL |
| Jan 21, 2023 | BEL 78 – 76 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#67) | 0.8 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#77) | 0.84 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#85) | 1.00 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#37) | 0.550 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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