Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -400 BEL +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -9.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -7.8 (-9.8) | 139.2 (+14.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -6.6 (-8.6) | 139.7 (+14.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -7.2 (-9.2) | 140.3 (+13.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -7.0 (-9.0) | 142.0 (+12.0) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | BRAD 95 – 84 BEL |
| Jan 2, 2026 | BEL 88 – 78 BRAD |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BEL 80 – 77 BRAD |
| Jan 22, 2025 | BRAD 89 – 77 BEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BRAD 95 – 72 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#72) | 2.5 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#96) | 0.74 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#102) | 0.60 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#88) | 0.562 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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