Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | BEL +130 BRAD -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +12 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -3.1 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -2.7 (-9.3) | 150.8 (+15.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -3.3 (-8.7) | 151.7 (+14.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -2.9 (-9.1) | 151.8 (+14.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -2.8 (-9.2) | 150.9 (+15.1) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | BRAD 95 – 84 BEL |
| Jan 2, 2026 | BEL 88 – 78 BRAD |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BEL 80 – 77 BRAD |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BRAD 95 – 72 BEL |
| Jan 21, 2023 | BEL 78 – 76 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 9-4 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#139) | 8.3 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#76) | 2.09 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#93) | 2.14 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#63) | 0.591 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 41.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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