Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -360 BEL +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -8.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -7.0 (-10.0) | 156.4 (+0.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -7.3 (-10.3) | 153.3 (+3.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -7.1 (-10.1) | 155.1 (+1.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -7.2 (-10.2) | 155.4 (+1.6) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | BRAD 95 – 84 BEL |
| Jan 2, 2026 | BEL 88 – 78 BRAD |
| Jan 22, 2025 | BRAD 89 – 77 BEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BRAD 95 – 72 BEL |
| Jan 21, 2023 | BEL 78 – 76 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#89) | 1.3 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#61) | 0.79 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#80) | 0.75 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#56) | 0.547 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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