Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | LAF -175 BUCK +148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | LAF -1.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -1.0 (+2.0) | 129.1 (+17.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -0.5 (+2.5) | 131.9 (+15.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -1.2 (+1.8) | 130.5 (+16.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -0.9 (+2.1) | 130.1 (+16.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LAF 81 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 15, 2026 | BUCK 76 – 69 LAF |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BUCK 75 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 9, 2025 | BUCK 65 – 62 LAF |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BUCK 60 – 50 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#306) | -6.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#277) | -1.19 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#288) | -1.32 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#278) | 0.446 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.