Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -170 LAF +143 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +10 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -5.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -3.2 (+6.8) | 129.0 (-19.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -2.8 (+7.2) | 131.8 (-21.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -3.6 (+6.4) | 130.8 (-20.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -3.9 (+6.1) | 129.8 (-19.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LAF 81 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 15, 2026 | BUCK 76 – 69 LAF |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BUCK 75 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 9, 2025 | BUCK 65 – 62 LAF |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LAF 75 – 72 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-10 |
| Away | 8-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#281) | -8.3 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#311) | -1.81 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#307) | -2.17 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#264) | 0.446 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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