Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -166 LAF +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -3.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -1.5 (+5.5) | 134.5 (+10.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -4.0 (+3.0) | 135.3 (+9.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -2.3 (+4.7) | 134.9 (+10.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -2.7 (+4.3) | 134.2 (+10.8) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LAF 81 – 79 BUCK |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BUCK 75 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 9, 2025 | BUCK 65 – 62 LAF |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BUCK 60 – 50 LAF |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LAF 75 – 72 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#326) | -11.5 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#315) | -2.86 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#311) | -3.50 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#302) | 0.360 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.