Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -175 LAF +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -4.1 (-1.1) | 135.3 (-8.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -3.3 (-0.3) | 138.1 (-11.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -3.1 (-0.1) | 136.0 (-9.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -4.2 (-1.2) | 134.4 (-7.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LAF 81 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 15, 2026 | BUCK 76 – 69 LAF |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BUCK 75 – 69 LAF |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BUCK 60 – 50 LAF |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LAF 75 – 72 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#241) | -6.2 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#268) | -1.43 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#259) | -1.58 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#256) | 0.427 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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