Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -350 LEM +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -10.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -6.3 (-8.3) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -8.3 (-10.3) | 140.1 (+7.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -7.7 (-9.7) | 139.8 (+8.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -8.1 (-10.1) | 141.6 (+6.4) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CCSU 78 – 77 LEM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CCSU 69 – 59 LEM |
| Mar 6, 2025 | CCSU 86 – 67 LEM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CCSU 84 – 75 LEM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CCSU 93 – 70 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#214) | -9.0 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#225) | -1.94 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#246) | -2.18 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#225) | 0.397 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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