Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LEM +210 CCSU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +23 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -7.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -6.8 (-16.2) | 140.0 (+23.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -7.1 (-15.9) | 135.8 (+27.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -6.6 (-16.4) | 135.2 (+27.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -7.0 (-16.0) | 138.3 (+24.7) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CCSU 78 – 77 LEM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CCSU 69 – 59 LEM |
| Mar 6, 2025 | CCSU 86 – 67 LEM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CCSU 84 – 75 LEM |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LEM 69 – 64 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 25-7 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 14-2 |
| Home | 6-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-16 | 12-3 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.4 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#344) | -2.3 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#321) | 0.13 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#325) | -0.11 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#324) | 0.510 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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