Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -1000 LEM +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +9 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -17.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -14.6 (-5.6) | 145.4 (+13.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -15.5 (-6.5) | 144.7 (+14.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -15.1 (-6.1) | 144.7 (+14.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -14.8 (-5.8) | 144.3 (+14.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CCSU 78 – 77 LEM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CCSU 69 – 59 LEM |
| Mar 6, 2025 | CCSU 86 – 67 LEM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CCSU 93 – 70 LEM |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LEM 69 – 64 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-7 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 12-3 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#169) | -14.3 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#145) | -2.19 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#157) | -2.92 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#117) | 0.406 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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