Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | BALL -175 M-OH +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | BALL -2.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -2.6 (-9.6) | 139.5 (+27.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -1.8 (-8.8) | 140.3 (+26.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -0.7 (-7.7) | 141.9 (+25.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -1.3 (-8.3) | 141.1 (+25.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | M-OH 86 – 77 BALL |
| Mar 7, 2025 | M-OH 79 – 66 BALL |
| Jan 8, 2025 | M-OH 80 – 72 BALL |
| Feb 17, 2024 | M-OH 80 – 59 BALL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BALL 75 – 61 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#264) | -4.1 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#254) | -0.91 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#256) | -1.44 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#268) | 0.452 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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