Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Mid-American Conference · Worthen Arena · December 20, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -7.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money BALL +285 / M-OH -360
Model Predictions
Spread Total BALL win
Actual M-OH +9 163 Lost
Massey M-OH -14.0 (+5.0)
Massey Totals 148.4 (+14.6)
Bradley-Terry 1%
Weighted B-T 0%
Efficiency Plus ML M-OH -11.7 (+2.7) 140.1 (+22.9) 15%
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -12.3 (+3.3) 140.4 (+22.6) 15%
Baseline ML M-OH -12.5 (+3.5) 141.9 (+21.1) 17%
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -11.3 (+2.3) 141.5 (+21.5) 16%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2025 M-OH 7966 BALL
Jan 8, 2025 M-OH 8072 BALL
Feb 17, 2024 M-OH 8059 BALL
Jan 20, 2024 M-OH 8780 BALL
Jan 14, 2023 BALL 7561 M-OH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BALL M-OH
Overall 12-19 32-2
Conference 7-11 18-0
Home 7-7 16-0
Away 4-11 14-0
Neutral 1-1 2-2
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak W4 L1
Avg Pts For 66.1 86.3
Avg Pts Against 71.4 76.5
Massey -11.7 (#326) 6.6 (#89)
Bradley-Terry -2.91 (#342) 2.65 (#29)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.81 (#338) 3.39 (#38)
RPI 0.307 (#365) 0.503 (#162)
Shooting & Four Factors BALL M-OH
FG% 38.5% 50.7%
3PT% 29.1% 39.0%
REB / G 32.8 34.1
OREB / G 11.1 7.9
AST / TO 1.02 1.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.4% 59.3%
TOV% 18.0% 14.4%
ORB% 29.0% 24.6%
FT Rate 20.5% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.6% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 19.4%
DRB% 65.6% 74.2%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 26.2%

Game Analysis

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