Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -138 BALL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +21 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -3.1 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -1.0 (+20.0) | 139.5 (-0.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -2.2 (+18.8) | 139.8 (-0.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -2.0 (+19.0) | 140.8 (-1.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -2.2 (+18.8) | 141.4 (-2.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | M-OH 86 – 77 BALL |
| Mar 7, 2025 | M-OH 79 – 66 BALL |
| Jan 8, 2025 | M-OH 80 – 72 BALL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | M-OH 87 – 80 BALL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BALL 75 – 61 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#261) | -4.6 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#241) | -0.97 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#271) | -1.20 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#249) | 0.440 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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