Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BALL -15.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -10.8 (+3.2) | 146.6 (-10.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -11.3 (+2.7) | 150.6 (-14.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -11.4 (+2.6) | 149.8 (-13.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -11.3 (+2.7) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | M-OH 86 – 77 BALL |
| Mar 7, 2025 | M-OH 79 – 66 BALL |
| Jan 8, 2025 | M-OH 80 – 72 BALL |
| Feb 17, 2024 | M-OH 80 – 59 BALL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | M-OH 87 – 80 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-9 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#121) | -8.3 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#106) | -1.48 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#106) | -1.86 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#114) | 0.421 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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