And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Mid-American Conference · Millett Hall · March 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -9.5 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money M-OH -550 / BALL +380
Model Predictions
Spread Total M-OH win
Actual M-OH +13 145 Won
Massey M-OH -9.4 (+3.6)
Massey Totals 152.0 (-7.0)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML M-OH -7.2 (+5.8) 147.4 (-2.4) 80%
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -8.9 (+4.1) 148.7 (-3.7) 82%
Baseline ML M-OH -8.2 (+4.8) 149.5 (-4.5) 83%
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -9.3 (+3.7) 150.2 (-5.2) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 20, 2025 M-OH 8677 BALL
Jan 8, 2025 M-OH 8072 BALL
Feb 17, 2024 M-OH 8059 BALL
Jan 20, 2024 M-OH 8780 BALL
Jan 14, 2023 BALL 7561 M-OH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings M-OH BALL
Overall 25-9 14-17
Conference 14-4 7-11
Home 15-1 8-7
Away 6-7 4-9
Neutral 4-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 77.7 73.8
Avg Pts Against 73.3 75.2
Massey -0.1 (#161) -6.2 (#265)
Bradley-Terry 0.58 (#121) -1.31 (#289)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.36 (#143) -1.79 (#295)
RPI 0.545 (#93) 0.434 (#308)
Shooting & Four Factors M-OH BALL
FG% 47.4% 45.2%
3PT% 37.7% 35.3%
REB / G 33.0 33.7
OREB / G 9.1 8.7
AST / TO 1.24 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.5% 51.8%
TOV% 17.7% 16.2%
ORB% 27.6% 25.9%
FT Rate 20.7% 31.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.1% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 14.2%
DRB% 71.2% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.0% 22.8%

Game Analysis

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