Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -550 BALL +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -9.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -9.3 (+3.7) | 150.2 (-5.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -7.2 (+5.8) | 147.4 (-2.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -8.9 (+4.1) | 148.7 (-3.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -8.2 (+4.8) | 149.5 (-4.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | M-OH 86 – 77 BALL |
| Jan 8, 2025 | M-OH 80 – 72 BALL |
| Feb 17, 2024 | M-OH 80 – 59 BALL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | M-OH 87 – 80 BALL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BALL 75 – 61 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#161) | -6.2 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#121) | -1.31 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#143) | -1.79 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#93) | 0.434 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 31.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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