Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -188 ETAM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +16 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -6.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -3.8 (-19.8) | 132.8 (-12.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -4.1 (-20.1) | 133.6 (-13.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -3.4 (-19.4) | 131.7 (-11.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -3.8 (-19.8) | 130.7 (-10.7) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | ETAM 70 – 53 SELA |
| Dec 16, 2025 | ETAM 70 – 69 SELA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SELA 83 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 ETAM |
| Feb 13, 2024 | SELA 79 – 77 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#287) | -9.7 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#291) | -1.42 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#289) | -2.06 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#267) | 0.453 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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