Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM +220 SELA -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -7.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -6.9 (-1.1) | 133.6 (+10.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -6.0 (-2.0) | 132.8 (+11.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -6.5 (-1.5) | 134.2 (+9.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -7.0 (-1.0) | 133.9 (+10.1) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | ETAM 70 – 53 SELA |
| Dec 16, 2025 | ETAM 70 – 69 SELA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SELA 83 – 65 ETAM |
| Feb 13, 2024 | SELA 79 – 77 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ETAM 68 – 52 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 4-10 | 8-4 |
| Away | 1-16 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#342) | -1.4 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#338) | -0.34 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.33 (#345) | -0.54 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#339) | 0.485 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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