Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM -135 SELA +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +17 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -0.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -0.6 (+16.4) | 134.7 (-11.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -0.0 (+17.0) | 134.6 (-11.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -1.2 (+15.8) | 132.0 (-9.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -0.7 (+16.3) | 133.9 (-10.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2025 | ETAM 70 – 69 SELA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SELA 83 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 ETAM |
| Feb 13, 2024 | SELA 79 – 77 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ETAM 68 – 52 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 6-16 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#299) | -6.3 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#284) | -1.59 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#279) | -1.84 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#259) | 0.420 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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