Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -650 ETAM +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +18 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -12.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -10.4 (+7.6) | 140.4 (+7.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -10.4 (+7.6) | 139.4 (+8.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -9.9 (+8.1) | 141.1 (+6.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -10.8 (+7.2) | 138.7 (+9.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | ETAM 70 – 53 SELA |
| Dec 16, 2025 | ETAM 70 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 ETAM |
| Feb 13, 2024 | SELA 79 – 77 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ETAM 68 – 52 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 8-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 9-8 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#188) | -10.7 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#180) | -2.52 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#195) | -3.03 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#180) | 0.393 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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